Showing posts with label trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trading. Show all posts

Sunday, February 28, 2021

Trading Book Performance - Feb 2021 - Chaotic Market

The market has been thrown into a big turbinal due to rates move (interest rate movement) on the back of reflation concern. In very layman's terms, the world's interest rate (America) is increasing on the back of the economy reopening and thus interest rate has been shooting up higher and higher every day over the past week. This raised concern that growth stocks or US equities might have overrun thus a bubble that caused the big retracement. 

Personally, I also got hit quite badly and if the equities market doesn't recover, it might just undo my Feb gains. You can look at the figures below where I am only sitting around 700USD gains. I've also taken a few fallen knives. 



However, I am still very bullish on the US equities market but I am not keen to add any more at discount due to my margin requirement. Honestly, I am very risk-averse as I've made quite a fair bit of money (more than what I expected).

I expect this hike in rates won't be sustainable and also money will flow back into equities eventually. The central banks across the globe are also putting in efforts to keep the rates low.. so this might help too. Generally, I feel that the economy is too bullish in its recovery. 

Let's see how next month will go. I'm currently heavy on options.. hopefully, the market will recover. 

How are all your portfolio doing?

Cheers to month-end. 

Wednesday, February 3, 2021

Trading Book Performance - Cup Half Full/Half Empty

Feeling sad.. ending the month with quite a severe loss.. I gave up about 1/3 gains in Jan.. (my first month). Honestly.. not losing money is a great thing and I actually reach where I would like my dividend gain to be this year without collecting any dividend yet.. 

I started to follow meme stocks.. and got a little over my head.. while I collected some decent gains.. I ended up in red for all my meme stocks. 

This actually teaches me a lesson not to be too greedy and stick to the plan.. "be cautious when you're getting greedy" is really well said. 

However, it still hurts seeing my performance dipped from ROR 59% to ~36%... but I'll trust the process.. and hopefully, maybe reach SGD12k by end of the year seems to be an achievable target.. this is my bottom line.. and hoping that with this.. I can be more satisfied with myself.. currently, I'm sitting at ~SGD3k up. 

I foresee the start of Feb to be a tough month with meme stocks still being in the focus.. I might continue to follow some of the lower-risk ones that are not overdriven yet. But this also negatively impacts my medium-term trading & investment book since meme stocks actually feel like an asset class by itself and are negatively correlated to most stocks.

What's your take on this meme stock rush.. and how has your portfolio been performing? But I also see this as a bargain sale to buy some of the more solid names as they continue to dip. 

Tiger Broker Jan 2021

I've been putting some part of my salary into Tiger Broker on a monthly basis.. As I've only recently started trading.. my trading book is really much smaller than my investment portfolio.. I plan to put all my investment funds into Tiger this year.. and diversify out of my Singapore Investment. 

I just need to make sure there's a way for me to separate my medium-term to my long-term positions.

How was your Jan if you're in the stock market? Hopefully, I can have a similar performance for Feb and bring this to a good year.


Cheers~

Sunday, January 24, 2021

Equities/Stocks Options - Introduction (Theory)

Decided to touch on equities/stock options as I'm sure many people out there might not be clear or even know what these do. Personally, I've only known the concept of call/put options but in truth, I wasn't sure how traders make money from these or why they do it. However, I've started to trade US equities and options as well, so I thought of sharing my strategies as I go. As usual, I will try to go through these as layman as possible, else it'd be pointless for me to cover it and I should just paste some website link.. lol

Introduction
There're 2 types of options; the Call Option and the Put Option. Typically a Call option gives the holder the right to buy the underlying stock while a Put option gives the holder the right to sell the underlying stock.

Will like to touch on some terms widely used in options trading; 
  • underlying; the underlying stock of the options
  • exercise; when the holder of the option decides to "execute" it
  • strike price; where an option will be exercised upon expiry if the underlying stock price reaches there
  • expiration date; the specific date when the option is rendered useless
  • styles; American (can be exercised anytime between holding and expiration date) or European style (only can be exercised on the expiration date), most widely traded contracts are American
  • contracts; per option contract represent 100 underlying stocks
  • premium; the price you pay or get for the option (easily mean the price of the option)
  • in-the-money (ITM); when the option gives you a profit when exercised 
  • out-of-the-money (OTM); when the option doesn't give you any profit and if the exercise you lose money
  • expired; losing the contract without exercising
Call Option
Basically, it gives you the right to buy the underlying stock at the pre-decided strike price before the expiration date. If you sold a call option, you give someone else a right to buy your stocks at a certain price before the expiration date. 

Traders buy a call option when they're bullish on the underlying. For example (figures used are est); 
  • stock A is trading at 10USD, and you're bullish on stock A going higher and higher
  • trader A buys a call option at 12USD that expires in 2 months at 0.20USD/stock which puts the contract at 20USD (per contract = 100 underlying)
  • at the expiration date or close to, the underlying stock is at 15USD now meaning the trader is right on his call and the option is ITM
  • by exercising this option, you can own the underlying at 12USD despite that it is trading at 15USD where the trader can either hold or sell it for a quick profit
  • if the trader is still bullish, he will hold onto these stocks and wait for a good time to sell
  • if trader wants to book profit, he can sell at the market price of 15USD and you earn 3USD per stock making it a whooping 300USD 
  • however, the trader has to deduct the premium he paid for the option which is 20USD.. thus the trader earns 280USD
  • if the stock price goes the other way or if it didn't hit 12USD, it will be expired (rationally, you won't exercise as you can buy the stock in the market for whatever price it is), so the premium is lost
A valid argument I'll hear is probably, why not buy the stock outright and if the stock didn't hit 12USD, you will still make the excess from where you bought it at 10USD. 

However, it is a good way for you to bet on bigger stock price names such as Alphabet (GOOGL) trading around 1890USD or Amazon.com (AMZN) trading around 3292USD. You can bet on these names at a fraction of the cost. 

Put Option
This is the opposite of the call option, it gives the holder a right to sell the underlying stock at a pre-determined price. 

This is usually executed when the trader is bearish of the stock and thinks that it will go down. 
  • stock B is trading at 10USD, and you're bearish on stock B going lower
  • trader B buys a put option at 8USD that expires in 2 months at 0.20USD/stock which puts the contract at 20USD (per contract = 100 underlying)
  • at the expiration date or close to, the underlying stock is at 7USD now meaning the trader is right on his put and the option is ITM
  • by exercising this option, you can sell the underlying at 8USD despite that it is trading at 7USD and the trader need to buy back the position at market
  • by exercising the option, the trader will have a negative 100 stock of the underlying which he will be required to buy to close it at 0 position
  • technically, the trader sold 100 stocks at 800USD but he needs to buy back at the market meaning paying up 700USD which puts his profit at 80USD (subtract the premium he paid for the contract)
  • as usual, if the stock doesn't hit lower than 8USD, the contract expires and the trader loses the premium
While in the call option, it is possible to hold the stocks outright as long as you can afford them but to do it similarly to bet it going down, you'll need to short the positions (meaning to sell stocks that you don't own). This will give you cash as technically you're selling.. but you will be subject to interest and fees for shorting the underlying as technically you're "borrowing" the stocks to sell now and buy back later to return it.

Summary
I tried to keep this as basic and as easy as I can share.. do ask me anything in the comment. I will be back to post more basic knowledge here (it also helps me to serve as a refresher to see how I am learning as well). 

I'd like to post some widely use strategies and also my take on them.. and most importantly how I make money on a daily basis on Tiger Broker. 

Hope everyone had a good weekend, and I'll be off polishing my work shoes. 

Cheers.

Sunday, January 17, 2021

Investing/Trading Broker

In this post, I will be going through the brokerages/apps that I am using from day-to-day basis that aid in my investing/trading journey.

As I’ve shared that I started my journey in early 2018, and was also anxious on which platform should I take. My consideration was whether the platform can be reliable, efficiency, and easy to use. For most consideration, one can choose between a bank-backed and a normal online brokerage.

Bank-Backed

As the name goes, it is backed by a bank which mean that it is relatively safe as banks usually have a credit rating pegged to them, and in Singapore most banks that you see are having at least A credit rating. These brokerages are usually a subsidiary of our widely known local banks; DBS, OCBC, and UOB. Bank-backed brokers are usually less competitive, with most of them having similar fees structure and not as competitive as online brokeragesUsually people go along with these because of convenience, and if they are Treasures or high frequency trader, you get a better deal, else it is really expensive if you trade very small positions. Their IU/APP/API are usually less user-friendly and for example DBS Vickers struggle with large volume from what I hear from people, where its server tend to crash.

DBS Vickers

I use DBS Vickers when I started off mainly for convenience as I can still hold the money in my account, and it also satisfied my step-up requirement for higher interest back in the days. The fee structure is as below;

https://www.dbs.com.sg/vickers/en/pricing/fee-schedules/singapore-accounts?pid=sg_vic_pricing_table_en_04122014

I still maintain my DBS Vickers account for my SGD Investment Book as transaction with DBS for local shares, it will be credited into your CDP which is deem much safer as you hold your stocks directly. Easily seeing from this, to make minimum commission (I reckon you are a small position trader like me, so ignoring the >50KSGD bracket), you’ll need to initial a position of at least SGD8,929 which puts your commission at SGD25.0012. Common sense, the less you invest, the more it will cost you. However, for recent times, there are cash up-front payments which means you must have the cash before you deal in that transaction, and this is really cheap at SGD10/trade before CDP/SGX fees. This puts the commission at 0.112% on the same value of SGD8,929 which is way less than half making it affordable. However, you’ll still be subjected to same commission when selling.

Online Brokerages

These are definitely the more favorable platform that Day Traders (or wannabes) use and these usually have much more competitive pricing along with better API/APP etc. However, you need to directly transfer fund onto these platforms, and these might have a small lag time so transfer ahead of your planned trades/investment. These can go as cheap as 5 free trades a month, or 1USD per trade for USD. Some examples that I’ve heard people use frequency are; FundSuperMart, Saxo Markets, TD Amertitrade, and Tiger Brokers

Tiger Brokers

While there’re many reviews on Tiger Brokers out there already, I’ll save my effort as you can easily read up on them by googling (as much as I try to help and share, this is not a review blog, nor I am sponsored by Tiger to write about them). This is probably one of the easiest online brokerage for Singaporean, your account gets approved within minutes if you use SingPass to sign up and for topping up, you can set up DDA with DBS bank (only DBS now) which enable your fund to be in your account within minutes as well! Aside from the low commissions, the top-up and withdrawal fees are free-of-charge! You can use my referral code if you’re keen to join Tiger Broker (Disclaimer, you get similar bonus signing up without any referral code as well). https://www.tigersecurities.com/accounts?invite=XFI1OW

Wrap-up Thoughts

My goal of the blog is to reach out to public audience, so I try to be as brief and as simple as possible. Hopefully this can help everyone get started. On another note, please do your homework before you engage in anything; just lost over 40USD over long/short trades on Tiger Broker.

I’m trying to cover all most basic stuff before going into some regular investing/trading tips that I use, if possible do leave comments on what you might be keen to hear about.

First Post - Merry Christmas!

Merry Christmas everybody! What a weird day for me to start writing on my journey (guess it mainly because I’ve time now).

First thing I always do when I encounter a new blog is to head over to the “about me” section to learn more about the person before diving into their post, so check that out here.

Hopefully you’ve checked my profile out before continue reading, and I will eventually start to share my views/journey/portfolio etc going forward.

First thing first, I regard myself as Passive Investor/Swing Trader, and my proportion of money in these are probably 90:10, and I hope to eventually grow my trader portion more. I will be going through the description of these 2 in this post.

Passive Investor

Investopedia can be your best friend as a beginner, and is a very good place for basic information and definition. As much as there is passive, there is also active investing, read more about it here. Simply put, I invest over the longer horizon, targeting either a good bet for capital gain, or a consistent dividend counter. Once I decided on a counter, I’ll go through the fundamentals and then decide on an entry point (sorry Dollar Cost Averaging peeps, I don’t believe in that) and act on it. As a passive investor, I will be updated with important news of the company, but I also plan to sit on the investment for a longer horizon, thus ignoring minor price move. For short, I call this my investment book, and hopefully I can generate enough passive income that can match an usual employee.

Swing Trader

With my net worth growing after 2 years of working and also changed to a new workplace (with less trading restriction), I finally have the capability to set aside some money to capture some trading gains. To me, I plan to tap on a handful number of products to capture short-to-medium term profit gain and I favor fundamental analysis over technical (which I am not very verse in, but slowly learning technical analysis). Read up the definition on Investopedia here. I call my part of investment in this portion as the trading book, which I plan to lock in some easy capital gain. Every dollar earned, is another dollar that you can invest and compound upon.

That’s it for today, ciao guys and stay safe!

Monthly Expense: 2021 February

Another month, another tracking.. 1/6 there to annual budget report. Exciting to fill up my tracker up tbh.. hope I'm not the only weird...